Lillard in lottery?

Lillard had trouble scoring on Jorge Gutierrez. 

Damian Lillard is a sweet-shooting guard that had scouts cramming Big Sky gyms to catch a glimpse of his talents. What they saw was a skilled, athletic scorer with a measured vertical leap of 39.5 inches! He shot a very impressive 86.7% FT for his career (600 attempts). Last season he raised his three point shooting accuracy to 40.9%. …Lillard is also strong in the upper-body.

The big-question is how much stock can you put into his numbers playing against Big Sky competition? The Big Sky was the 27th (of 33) rated conference in NCAA D-1 hoops (according to Jeff Sagarin's ratings). Lillard competed against just two power-six conference teams last season. When Weber St. faced Cal, Lillard laid an egg. He was 4-17 FG with 14 points in 36 minutes. Likewise - against an always tough Utah St. squad - he was 4-16 FG. To be fair - Lillard had a monster 36 point game against Saint Mary's. But the Gaels guards are far from scary defensively. (See Lillard's game log)

The NBA is a league FULL of good point guards right now. Since you always consider the landscape - I don't see Lillard being a guy who automatically fits into the top-shelf of NBA PG's. By efficiency - guys like Mike Conley, George Hill and Jeff Teague are struggling to crack the top-25 among PG's. Is it realistic to think Lillard can become that good? I'm not sure. Lillard is being discussed as a late-lottery selection. I see that projection as slightly overrated right now. Don't get me wrong - I like Lillard's game. But I do not see him as a lottery pick.